What Is The “Yield Curve”?

The yield curve is flattening (or growing steeper)! … Yield curve spreads are widening (or narrowing)! … The yield curve has inverted (or normalized)!

Headline-grabbing yield curve commentary somehow sounds important, doesn’t it? But what is a “yield curve” to begin with, and what does it have to do with you and your investments?

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Waypoint Wealth Management

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Waypoint Wealth Management

Trade Troubles?

You may have heard or read the news of an escalating trade war between the United States and China, which has dominated headlines recently as both countries formally imposed substantial tariffs on one another. In response to the Trump administration’s 25 percent tariff on $34 billion worth of Chinese goods (largely industrial and technology products), the Chinese government levied tariffs of equal size on certain U.S. goods (largely agricultural products). The U.S. government is expected to launch a second round of tariffs on China, worth another $16 billion, in the next few weeks. Then on July 11, the White House announced it is preparing yet another wave of tariffs targeting China to go into effect sometime after August 30.

 

 

This most recent trade conflict follows tariffs of up to 25 percent that the Trump administration imposed in June on steel and aluminum imports from Canada, Mexico and the European Union, who then countered with levies on U.S. exports ranging from maple syrup to Harley-Davidson motorcycles.

 

How do these decisions affect you, and is there anything we should be doing about it when it comes to your investments? > SEE MORE

Waypoint Wealth Management

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Waypoint Wealth Management

Would You Pay For Your Doctor’s Trip To The Bahamas?

What if you knew that your doctor was more highly trained to sell you a specific drug that paid him much more money than any other suggestions he could make for you, even if it wasn’t in your best interest?  On top of that, what if you knew that this doctor had sales targets where his income would increase drastically for selling enough of this medicine each month?  He could provide you with advice and receive his standard fee, or he could suggest that you take this drug and he would receive $70,000.  In addition, if he sold enough of this in a certain time period, the drug company would send him and his family to an all-expense paid, posh trip to the Bahamas.  Does he maintain his ongoing education as a doctor?  Sure, he does—enough to maintain his license.  But more of his training these days is put toward attracting ‘customers’ into his office to convince them to buy this drug.  I mean, why wouldn’t he?  The opportunity is to make millions more per year, so he’d prefer to hone his skills with talking you into buying more of this drug, and getting to know your friends and family so he can sell it to them too.

 

Here’s a question for you:  would you work with this doctor?

You might say “of course not!”  And I certainly wouldn’t either.  But what if I told you that this is exactly what is going on in the investment industry? > SEE MORE

Pete Dixon, CFP®

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Pete Dixon, CFP®

Partner and Advisor

Rate Fears And Your Fixed Income Strategy

What a difference a decade makes.  It’s hard to believe it’s been approximately ten years since the “Great Recession” began. By year-end 2008, the U.S. Federal Reserve (the Fed) had lowered the target federal funds rate to near-zero and went on an aggressive easing campaign, hoping to resuscitate the economy with a booster shot of lending, borrowing and spending dollars.

Some would say the economic recovery that followed was a result of these Fed initiatives. More likely, there were a number of contributing factors including technology and innovation. Either way, the Fed has begun to reverse course, restoring its policies and targets closer to historical “norms” through quantitative tightening and gradually rising rates.

 

 

Here’s the $64,000 question: as an investor, what can or should you do to prepare if rates do continue to rise? For that matter, what can or should you do if they don’t? As usual, our advice may not be as action-packed as you might crave, but there are a number of solid, evidence-based strategies that stand the test of time.  > SEE MORE

Waypoint Wealth Management

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Waypoint Wealth Management

Thinking Differently About Investing

I can remember having that “light bulb moment” early in my career.  It was the late 90’s, and I was eager to find out what the “secret sauce” was that gave investors an edge.  I can remember analyzing the past performance of many, many money managers and continually discovering a common theme.  Those managers with better long-term track records proudly admitted that they paid less attention to shorter time frames.  They didn’t care what the stock market was going to do in any one, three, or even five year period.  Those who ended up with better returns than most of the other managers cared more about holding onto the stocks of businesses for longer periods of time and didn’t allow short-term volatility to get under their skin.

 

 

This is how it began to dawn on me: maybe it wasn’t important to try and figure out what the market was going to do, in order to be a successful investor.   > SEE MORE

Pete Dixon, CFP®

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Pete Dixon, CFP®

Partner and Advisor